Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday


	Ignacio Buse		Pol Martin Tiffon

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.52	2.3	Watch
	1.52	2.57
	1.49	2.57	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.53	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)	2.42 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
61.4%

Pol Martin Tiffon
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Pol Martin Tiffon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ignacio Buse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pol Martin Tiffon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ignacio Buse - Pol Martin Tiffon Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Buse will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Martin Tiffon will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 227. Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 252.

Buse has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Martin Tiffon is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Martin Tiffon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Buse will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Buse won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
03.03.25	Ignacio Buse - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
24.02.25	Ignacio Buse - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Ignacio Buse - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Ignacio Buse - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
01.02.25	Hady Habib - Ignacio Buse	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLLL?
- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Challenger
03.03.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
22.02.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
07.02.25	Johannus Monday - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.05.24	Ignacio Buse - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:1
ATP Challenger
01.04.24	Ignacio Buse - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0

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