Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quito, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Ignacio Monzon		Samuel Heredia

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.09	1.66
	2.23	1.72
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.17	1.7	Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.09)	1.67 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Monzon
44.2%

Samuel Heredia
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Monzon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Samuel Heredia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Monzon than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuel Heredia than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Ignacio Monzon - Samuel Heredia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Monzon will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Heredia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heredia: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Heredia (1.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Heredia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Monzon is ranked ATP: 693. Heredia is ranked ATP: 727.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Heredia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Heredia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Monzon
ATP Challenger
02.07.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Ignacio Monzon	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Ignacio Monzon	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Matias Soto - Ignacio Monzon	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Ignacio Monzon - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
15.06.26	Ignacio Monzon - Valentin Basel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLW
- Samuel Heredia
ATP Challenger
02.07.26	Samuel Heredia - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida - Samuel Heredia	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Samuel Heredia - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
15.06.26	Samuel Heredia - Ezequiel Monferrer	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Samuel Heredia - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWLWL

Ignacio Monzon - Samuel Heredia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide