Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quito, clay - 1/8-finalsDate: 2 July 2026, Thursday
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Juan Manuel La Serna |
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Ignacio Monzon |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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1.18 |
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4.25 |
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 |
1.14 |
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4.7 |
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1.2 |
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5.25 |
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1.16 |
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5.15 |
Watch |
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1.16 |
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4.54 |
Watch |
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1.14 |
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4.7 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.16 ↓
(3.08) |
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4.77 ↑
(1.32) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 19.50
- The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Juan Manuel La Serna
80.4% | Ignacio Monzon
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+50.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Manuel La Serna's performance.Ignacio Monzon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-50.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ignacio Monzon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (-47.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Manuel La Serna that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Monzon than the current prediction. (+47.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ignacio Monzon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Juan Manuel La Serna - Ignacio Monzon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
La Serna is ranked ATP: 287. Monzon is ranked ATP: 693.Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.Monzon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Monzon is a strong favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, La Serna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 16.06.26 | Ignacio Monzon - Juan Manuel La Serna | 0:2 | | ITF Tournaments | | | 25.10.25 | Ignacio Monzon - Juan Manuel La Serna | 1:2 | | ATP Challenger | | | 03.07.23 | Ignacio Monzon - Juan Manuel La Serna | 2:0 |
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