Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokohama, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday


	Igor Marcondes		Neil Oberleitner

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.31	3.18	Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.56)	2.73 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igor Marcondes
65.9%

Neil Oberleitner
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igor Marcondes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Igor Marcondes's performance.

Neil Oberleitner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neil Oberleitner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igor Marcondes than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Igor Marcondes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neil Oberleitner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Igor Marcondes - Neil Oberleitner Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Marcondes (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marcondes is ranked ATP: 469. Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 442.

Marcondes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Oberleitner's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Oberleitner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Marcondes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Neil Oberleitner - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Igor Marcondes
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Igor Marcondes - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Oliver Crawford - Igor Marcondes	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Igor Marcondes - Ji Sung Nam	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Igor Marcondes - Kanju Furusho	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Igor Marcondes - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL
- Neil Oberleitner
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Hikaru Shiraishi - Neil Oberleitner	1:2 ✺
17.11.25	Neil Oberleitner - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Neil Oberleitner - Maxim Zhukov	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Neil Oberleitner - Duck Hee Lee	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	James McCabe - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWL

Igor Marcondes - Neil Oberleitner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide