Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Figueira da Foz, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday


	Ilia Simakin		Alex Martinez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.2
	1.4	2.6	Watch
	1.47	2.54
			Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.53	2.37
	1.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)	2.47 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
62.5%

Alex Martinez
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Alex Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Martinez than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Martinez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 228. Martinez is ranked ATP: 436.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Simakin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
01.06.25	Ilia Simakin - Clement Chidekh	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Ilia Simakin - Giles Hussey	2:0 ✺
30.05.25	Ilia Simakin - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:1 ✺
29.05.25	Ilia Simakin - Philip Henning	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Ilia Simakin - Charlie Robertson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW
- Alex Martinez Tennis
ITF Tournaments
24.06.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Alex Martinez	Canceled ✺
22.06.25	Alex Martinez - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Daniel Milavsky - Alex Martinez	1:2 ✺
20.06.25	Justin Boulais - Alex Martinez	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Blaise Bicknell - Alex Martinez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 ?WWWW

Ilia Simakin - Alex Martinez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide