Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday


	Ilia Simakin		Gabi Adrian Boitan

	1	2
	1.33	3.10
	1.37	3.00
	1.35	3.31
	1.3	3.18	Watch
	1.33	3.30
	1.32	3.09	Watch
	1.30	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)	3.16 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
70.4%

Gabi Adrian Boitan
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Gabi Adrian Boitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilia Simakin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabi Adrian Boitan than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabi Adrian Boitan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ilia Simakin - Gabi Adrian Boitan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Boitan will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 294. Boitan is ranked ATP: 429.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Simakin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Simakin might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Ilia Simakin - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.11%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Ilia Simakin - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Ilia Simakin - Dimitar Kuzmanov	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	Ilia Simakin - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Ilia Simakin - Radu David Turcanu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLWW
- Gabi Adrian Boitan
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Gabriel Debru	1:2 ✺
19.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.07.26	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Semen Aginskiy	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Vlad Cristian Breazu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.06.26	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Denis Yevseyev	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLW?

Ilia Simakin - Gabi Adrian Boitan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide