Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Iasi, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday


	Ilia Simakin		Lautaro Midon

	1	2
	2.75	1.40	Watch
	2.90	1.36
	3.05	1.36	Watch
	3.01	1.43
	2.8	1.38	Watch
	2.95	1.41	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.80	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.62)	1.39 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
32.4%

Lautaro Midon
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ilia Simakin - Lautaro Midon Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Midon will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 304. Midon is ranked ATP: 230.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Simakin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Midon is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lautaro Midon - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 64.85%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Ilia Simakin - Dimitar Kuzmanov	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	Ilia Simakin - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Ilia Simakin - Radu David Turcanu	2:1 ✺
23.06.26	Ilia Simakin - Marko Topo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWL
- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Radu Mihai Papoe - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Lautaro Midon - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Lautaro Midon - Stefan Horia Haita	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Hugo Gaston - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.06.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL

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