Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pune (India), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday


	Ilia Simakin		Vit Kopriva

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.66
	2.13	1.73
	2.18	1.64	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.16	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.66)	1.67 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
44%

Vit Kopriva
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilia Simakin's performance.

Vit Kopriva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vit Kopriva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilia Simakin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vit Kopriva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Ilia Simakin - Vit Kopriva Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Kopriva will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 308. Kopriva is ranked ATP: 120.

Simakin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kopriva is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kopriva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kopriva will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
17.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Jiri Vesely	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Mukund Sasikumar	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
10.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW
- Vit Kopriva
ATP Challenger
15.02.25	Vit Kopriva - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Vit Kopriva - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Vit Kopriva - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Vit Kopriva - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Vit Kopriva - Brandon Holt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL

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