Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday


	Petr Bar-Biryukov		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
			Watch
	2.95	1.35
	2.97	1.41
	5.35	1.13	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.84	1.37	Watch
	2.8	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.62)	1.35 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Bar-Biryukov
29.4%

Ilia Simakin
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Bar-Biryukov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Petr Bar-Biryukov's form might have worsened.

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilia Simakin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Bar-Biryukov than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Petr Bar Biryukov - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bar-Biryukov (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bar-Biryukov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bar-Biryukov is ranked ATP: 323. Simakin is ranked ATP: 275.

Now, both players are in good form.

Bar-Biryukov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Simakin will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Simakin will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bar-Biryukov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ilia Simakin - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 64.85%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Bar-Biryukov
ATP Challenger
26.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Jake Delaney	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Lachlan McFadzean	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Marek Gengel - Petr Bar-Biryukov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLW
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Ilia Simakin - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Ilia Simakin - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Ilia Simakin - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Ilia Simakin - Robin Bertrand	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Omar Jasika - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.05.25	Ilia Simakin - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:1
19.05.24	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Ilia Simakin	2:0
ITF Tournaments
09.05.24	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Ilia Simakin	0:2

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