Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jinan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Martin Landaluce		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.16
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.99)	2.11 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Landaluce
55.8%

Ilia Simakin
44.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Landaluce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Martin Landaluce's performance.

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilia Simakin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Landaluce than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martin Landaluce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilia Simakin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Martin Landaluce - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Landaluce will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Simakin will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Landaluce is ranked ATP: 73., and Simakin is ranked ATP: 154..

Landaluce is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Simakin shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Simakin may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Simakin in today's match, at odds of 1.73.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Martin Landaluce - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.6%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Landaluce
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Martin Landaluce - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.26	Martin Landaluce - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Dusan Lajovic - Martin Landaluce	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Martin Landaluce - Jacob Fearnley	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.26	Martin Landaluce - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
06.10.26	Rigele Te - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Luka Pavlovic - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Ilia Simakin - Hunter Heck	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Landaluce
ATP Paris
31.10.26	Tomas Machac - Martin Landaluce	✺

Martin Landaluce - Ilia Simakin