Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HAMBURG (GERMANY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: HAMBURG (GERMANY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Illya Marchenko		Altug Celikbilek

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Illya Marchenko
65.2%

Altug Celikbilek
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Altug Celikbilek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altug Celikbilek than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Users Predictions: Illya Marchenko will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Marchenko is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Celikbilek is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Celikbilek could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marchenko will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
17.10.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
13.10.23	Joris De Loore - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
12.10.23	Illya Marchenko - Norbert Gombos	2:1 ✺
10.10.23	Dennis Novak - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
09.10.23	Illya Marchenko - Kacper Zuk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWWW
- Altug Celikbilek
ATP Challenger
17.10.23	Mukund Sasikumar - Altug Celikbilek	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Altug Celikbilek - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
03.10.23	Billy Harris - Altug Celikbilek	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
16.09.23	Zsombor Piros - Altug Celikbilek	Canceled ✺
15.09.23	Fabian Marozsan - Altug Celikbilek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLL?L

Illya Marchenko - Altug Celikbilek