Match Info

Date: 20 March 2021, Saturday


	Illya Marchenko		Daniel Masur

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.52	2.45	Watch
	1.48	2.42
	1.53	2.59
	1.53	2.38
	1.52	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.58)	2.46 ↑ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illya Marchenko
61.9%

Daniel Masur
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Daniel Masur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Masur than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.6%	0%	9.4%

Illya Marchenko - Daniel Masur Predictions

Users Predictions: Illya Marchenko will win (29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.53% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marchenko is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Masur is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Marchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marchenko will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marchenko won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
19.03.21	Illya Marchenko - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
18.03.21	Lucas Pouille - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
16.03.21	Illya Marchenko - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
13.03.21	Illya Marchenko - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
12.03.21	Illya Marchenko - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW
- Daniel Masur
ATP Challenger
19.03.21	Daniel Masur - Sergiy Stakhovsky	2:0 ✺
17.03.21	Daniel Masur - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
16.03.21	Yuichi Sugita - Daniel Masur	1:2 ✺
15.03.21	Daniel Masur - Andrea Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
14.03.21	Daniel Masur - Matija Pecotic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.08.19	Illya Marchenko - Daniel Masur	0:2

Illya Marchenko - Daniel Masur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide