Match Info

Date: 8 November 2021, Monday


	Illya Marchenko		Liam Broady

	1	2
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.75	2.02	Watch
	1.74	1.94
	1.81	2.02
	1.8	1.9
	1.8	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)	1.96 ↓ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illya Marchenko
52.5%

Liam Broady
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Liam Broady has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Broady than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	0%	17.2%

Illya Marchenko - Liam Broady Predictions

Users Predictions: Illya Marchenko will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Broady is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marchenko has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Broady could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Broady won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
03.11.21	Liam Broady - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
01.11.21	Illya Marchenko - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Moscow
20.10.21	Illya Marchenko - John Millman	1:2 ✺
19.10.21	Alexander Bublik - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
17.10.21	Illya Marchenko - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW
- Liam Broady
ATP Challenger
05.11.21	Liam Broady - Cem Ilkel	1:2 ✺
03.11.21	Liam Broady - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
01.11.21	Liam Broady - Danilo Petrovic	2:1 ✺
25.10.21	Liam Broady - Henri Laaksonen	0:2 ✺
ATP Antwerp
17.10.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Liam Broady	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.11.21	Liam Broady - Illya Marchenko	2:1
13.03.21	Illya Marchenko - Liam Broady	0:2
12.06.17	Liam Broady - Illya Marchenko	0:2

Illya Marchenko - Liam Broady: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide