Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ROSETO DEGLI ABRUZZI (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 April 2023, Wednesday


	Illya Marchenko		Raphael Collignon

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.35	1.55
	2.48	1.56
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.49	1.49	Watch
	1.39	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.52)	1.73 ↓ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illya Marchenko
44.2%

Raphael Collignon
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illya Marchenko's form might have worsened.

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raphael Collignon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raphael Collignon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	0%	84.2%

Illya Marchenko - Raphael Collignon Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Marchenko will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Collignon will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Collignon: 67.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marchenko is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Collignon is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marchenko won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
11.03.23	Illya Marchenko - Benoit Paire	1:2 ✺
10.03.23	Illya Marchenko - Gastao Elias	2:1 ✺
09.03.23	Christian Langmo - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
07.03.23	Illya Marchenko - Guido Andreozzi	2:0 ✺
06.03.23	Alex Rybakov - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWW
- Raphael Collignon
ATP Challenger
30.03.23	Maxime Janvier - Raphael Collignon	2:1 ✺
29.03.23	Raphael Collignon - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
20.03.23	Raphael Collignon - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	1:2 ✺
07.03.23	Raphael Collignon - Dominic Stephan Stricker	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Raphael Collignon - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.11.22	Raphael Collignon - Illya Marchenko	0:2

Illya Marchenko - Raphael Collignon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide