Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bratislava (Slovakia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 June 2024, Tuesday

Referee: El Jennati M. (Mar)


	Illya Marchenko		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3	1.34	Watch
	3.38	1.33
	3.36	1.33
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.19	1.33	Watch
	2.95	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.1)	1.34 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Illya Marchenko
29.9%

Lukas Neumayer
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illya Marchenko's form might have worsened.

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lukas Neumayer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Illya Marchenko - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: Lukas Neumayer will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Marchenko is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Neumayer is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Neumayer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Neumayer will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
18.05.24	Illya Marchenko - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
17.05.24	Illya Marchenko - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:1 ✺
16.05.24	Max Purcell - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
15.05.24	Illya Marchenko - Evgeny Donskoy	2:1 ✺
14.05.24	Illya Marchenko - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWWW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
06.06.24	Laslo Djere - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
05.06.24	Lukas Neumayer - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
04.06.24	Lukas Neumayer - Jiri Vesely	2:0 ✺
28.05.24	Lukas Neumayer - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.24	Lukas Neumayer - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLL

Upcoming Matches