Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WINSTON-SALEM (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 21 August 2023, Monday


	Illya Marchenko		Rinky Hijikata

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.25	1.65
	2.2	1.67
	2.24	1.7
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.24	1.65	Watch
	2.15	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.51)	1.67 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illya Marchenko
43%

Rinky Hijikata
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illya Marchenko's performance.

Rinky Hijikata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rinky Hijikata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illya Marchenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rinky Hijikata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Illya Marchenko - Rinky Hijikata Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Marchenko will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Hijikata will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hijikata: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marchenko in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Hijikata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marchenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hijikata will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Marchenko to win the game is with odds 2.28.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marchenko won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.23	Illya Marchenko - Omni Kumar	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Illya Marchenko - Filippo Moroni	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.23	Matija Pecotic - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
28.07.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
28.07.23	Illya Marchenko - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW
- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.23	Rinky Hijikata - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.23	Adam Walton - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
09.08.23	Alexander Ritschard - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
08.08.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
31.07.23	Rinky Hijikata - John Isner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.06.22	Illya Marchenko - Rinky Hijikata	1:2

Illya Marchenko - Rinky Hijikata: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide