Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: San Diego 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Sho Shimabukuro		Rinky Hijikata

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.42	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.58
	1.94	1.78	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.54	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.48)	1.53 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
38.7%

Rinky Hijikata
61.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Rinky Hijikata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Sho Shimabukuro - Rinky Hijikata Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Hijikata (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hijikata (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 144. Hijikata is ranked ATP: 114.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Hijikata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hijikata is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shimabukuro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Rinky Hijikata - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.39%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Andrew Fenty	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Stefan Kozlov	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Chris Rodesch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW
- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Bernard Tomic - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Stefan Dostanic - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Rinky Hijikata - Valentin Vacherot	1:3 ✺
19.01.26	Adrian Mannarino - Rinky Hijikata	0:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
14.01.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.08.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Rinky Hijikata	0:2
21.06.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Rinky Hijikata	2:1
24.04.23	Rinky Hijikata - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	✺

Sho Shimabukuro - Rinky Hijikata