The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilya Ivashka 57%
Sebastian Korda 43%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.4%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.8%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilya Ivashka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilya Ivashka's form might have worsened.
Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Korda's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilya Ivashka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Korda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93%
0%
7%
Ilya Ivashka - Sebastian Korda Predictions
Users Predictions:
Ilya Ivashka will win
(40 of 43 users predict this - 93.02%). Confidence interval (95%): 85.4% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.
Korda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.