Match Info

Date: 29 July 2022, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Canada	Sportsnet
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	beIN Sports
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1


	Ilya Ivashka		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	2.62	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.7	1.47
	2.55	1.47
	2.79	1.5
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.85	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.19)	1.48 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Ivashka
35.7%

Tommy Paul
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Ivashka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilya Ivashka's form might have worsened.

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tommy Paul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilya Ivashka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tommy Paul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.4%	0%	80.6%

Ilya Ivashka - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (50 of 62 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.82% – 90.48%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Ivashka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paul is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Paul will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Paul to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Atlanta
27.07.22	Reilly Opelka - Ilya Ivashka	Canceled ✺
27.07.22	Steve Johnson - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
26.07.22	Quentin Halys - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
22.06.22	Ilya Ivashka - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
20.06.22	Ilya Ivashka - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 ?WWLW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Atlanta
27.07.22	Soon Woo Kwon - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
26.07.22	Jack Sock - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.22	Cameron Norrie - Tommy Paul	3:0 ✺
01.07.22	Tommy Paul - Jiri Vesely	3:0 ✺
29.06.22	Tommy Paul - Adrian Mannarino	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

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