Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Zlatibor (Serbia), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday


	Ilya Snitari		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
	2.55	1.44
	2.6	1.42
	2.6	1.47
	2.63	1.43	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.93)	1.44 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Snitari
35.6%

Mathys Erhard
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Snitari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Snitari than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilya Snitari that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mathys Erhard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ilya Snitari - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Snitari is ranked ATP: 565. Erhard is ranked ATP: 393.

Recent matches Snitari is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Erhard is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Erhard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Erhard is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Erhard to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Snitari won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Snitari
ITF Tournaments
26.09.24	Svyatoslav Gulin - Ilya Snitari	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Ilya Snitari - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.24	Hynek Barton - Ilya Snitari	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Federico Bondioli - Ilya Snitari	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.09.24	Pietro Marino - Ilya Snitari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL
- Mathys Erhard
ITF Tournaments
26.09.24	Stefan Latinovic - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Elmar Ejupovic - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
09.09.24	Mathys Erhard - Gabriele Piraino	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Mathys Erhard - Alessandro Pecci	2:0 ✺
06.09.24	Mathys Erhard - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.04.22	Mathys Erhard - Ilya Snitari	2:0

Ilya Snitari - Mathys Erhard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide