Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SANTANDER (SPAIN), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 25 August 2023, Friday


	Imanol Lopez Morillo		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.3	1.54
	2.37	1.56
	2.25	1.57
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.28	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.99)	1.55 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imanol Lopez Morillo
40.2%

Vilius Gaubas
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imanol Lopez Morillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Imanol Lopez Morillo's form might have worsened.

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilius Gaubas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imanol Lopez Morillo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

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Preview

Lopez Morillo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gaubas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lopez Morillo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gaubas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lopez Morillo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imanol Lopez Morillo
ITF Tournaments
23.08.23	Jaime Caldes - Imanol Lopez Morillo	0:2 ✺
22.08.23	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Imanol Lopez Morillo	0:2 ✺
10.08.23	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Michael Agwi	0:2 ✺
09.08.23	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Julien Penzlin	2:0 ✺
16.07.23	Cem Ilkel - Imanol Lopez Morillo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW
- Vilius Gaubas
ITF Tournaments
23.08.23	Julio Cesar Porras - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
22.08.23	Kane Bonsach Ganley - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	Daniel Paty - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
11.08.23	Patrick Kaukovalta - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
10.08.23	Iiro Vasa - Vilius Gaubas	Vasa I. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.04.23	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Vilius Gaubas	1:2

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