Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MAIA (PORTUGAL), CLAY (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 30 November 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: MAIA (PORTUGAL) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Ivan Gakhov		Andrea Collarini

	1	2
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.69	2.09	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.88)	2.12 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ivan Gakhov
56.2%

Andrea Collarini
43.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ivan Gakhov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ivan Gakhov's performance.

Andrea Collarini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Collarini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Gakhov than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ivan Gakhov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Collarini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Ivan Gakhov - Andrea Collarini Predictions

Users Predictions: Ivan Gakhov will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gakhov is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Collarini is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Collarini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ivan Gakhov
ATP Challenger
29.11.22	Luciano Darderi - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
24.11.22	Ivan Gakhov - Adrian Andreev	1:2 ✺
22.11.22	Pedro Sousa - Ivan Gakhov	1:2 ✺
21.11.22	Ivan Gakhov - Andrey Chepelev	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Ivan Gakhov - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWW
- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
28.11.22	Andrea Collarini - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
21.11.22	Andrea Collarini - Luca Van Assche	Collarini A. retired ✺
08.11.22	Andrea Collarini - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
26.10.22	Andrea Collarini - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
21.10.22	Franco Agamenone - Andrea Collarini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 W?LLL

Ivan Gakhov - Andrea Collarini

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Ivan Gakhov - Andrea Collarini Predictions

Preview

Form

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