Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MAIA (PORTUGAL), CLAY (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 November 2022, Monday


	Andrea Collarini		Alexey Vatutin

	1	2
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.46	2.7
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.38	2.85	Watch
	1.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	2.65 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Collarini
64.7%

Alexey Vatutin
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Collarini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Andrea Collarini - Alexey Vatutin Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Collarini will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Vatutin will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Collarini: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Collarini is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vatutin has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Collarini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
21.11.22	Andrea Collarini - Luca Van Assche	Collarini A. retired ✺
08.11.22	Andrea Collarini - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
26.10.22	Andrea Collarini - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
21.10.22	Franco Agamenone - Andrea Collarini	2:1 ✺
20.10.22	Andrea Collarini - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 ?LLLW
- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
22.11.22	Jelle Sels - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
07.11.22	Alexey Vatutin - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
24.10.22	Alexey Vatutin - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
18.10.22	Alexey Vatutin - Henri Laaksonen	1:2 ✺
ATP Gijon
12.10.22	Pedro Cachin - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Andrea Collarini - Alexey Vatutin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide