Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Ivan Gakhov		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.66	2.09	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)	2.14 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ivan Gakhov
56.6%

Christoph Negritu
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ivan Gakhov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Gakhov than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ivan Gakhov - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gakhov will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

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Preview

Gakhov is ranked ATP: 249. Negritu is ranked ATP: 424.

Gakhov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Negritu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Negritu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gakhov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gakhov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ivan Gakhov - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.89%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Christoph Negritu - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.11%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ivan Gakhov
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Ivan Gakhov - Rudolf Molleker	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Ivan Gakhov - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Ivan Gakhov - Gabriele Piraino	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Ivan Gakhov - Saba Purtseladze	Canceled
07.02.26	Oleg Prihodko - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLW?L
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
16.03.26	Christoph Negritu - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Christoph Negritu - Eneko Rios Perez	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Tom Gentzsch - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Christoph Negritu - Dan Added	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Christoph Negritu - Tibo Colson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.06.25	Christoph Negritu - Ivan Gakhov	2:0

Ivan Gakhov - Christoph Negritu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide