Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Koblenz, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Koblenz 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	15:30	Veikkaus TV


	Tom Gentzsch		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.42	2.6	Watch
	1.52	2.67
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.46	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.75)	2.4 ↑ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Gentzsch
60.5%

Christoph Negritu
39.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Gentzsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tom Gentzsch's performance.

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Christoph Negritu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tom Gentzsch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Christoph Negritu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tom Gentzsch - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Users Predictions: Tom Gentzsch will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tom Gentzsch will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 277. Negritu is ranked ATP: 384.

Gentzsch is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Negritu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gentzsch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gentzsch could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gentzsch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Christoph Negritu - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.4%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Gentzsch
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Tom Gentzsch - Florian Broska	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Tom Gentzsch - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Tom Gentzsch - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.01.26	Tom Gentzsch - Karlis Ozolins	0:2 ✺
30.01.26	Tom Gentzsch - Nino Ehrenschneider	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Christoph Negritu - Dan Added	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Christoph Negritu - Tibo Colson	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Michael Geerts - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
26.01.26	Christoph Negritu - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Christoph Negritu - Tyler Zink	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.09.23	Tom Gentzsch - Christoph Negritu	0:2

Tom Gentzsch - Christoph Negritu