Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GIRONA (SPAIN), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Ivan Gakhov		Gastao Elias

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.25	1.6
	2.36	1.65
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.23	1.62	Watch
	2.31	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.96)	1.6 ↓ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ivan Gakhov
41.5%

Gastao Elias
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ivan Gakhov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ivan Gakhov's form might have worsened.

Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gastao Elias's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Gakhov than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ivan Gakhov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gastao Elias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Ivan Gakhov - Gastao Elias Predictions

Users Predictions: Ivan Gakhov will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Gakhov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Elias will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Elias to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gakhov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ivan Gakhov
ATP Challenger
01.04.23	Jesper De Jong - Ivan Gakhov	1:2 ✺
31.03.23	Ivan Gakhov - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
29.03.23	Fabian Marozsan - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Abedallah Shelbayh - Ivan Gakhov	1:2 ✺
24.03.23	Ivan Gakhov - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWWWL
- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
01.04.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
31.03.23	Gastao Elias - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
30.03.23	Raul Brancaccio - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
28.03.23	Gastao Elias - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
24.03.23	Gastao Elias - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.02.19	Gastao Elias - Ivan Gakhov	0:2

Ivan Gakhov - Gastao Elias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide