Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LAS FRANQUESAS DEL VALLES (SPAIN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 24 March 2023, Friday


	Gastao Elias		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.02	1.76
	2.04	1.85
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.93	1.83	Watch
	1.97	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.9)	1.8 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
48.1%

Bu Yunchaokete
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Gastao Elias - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Yunchaokete will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elias: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Elias could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
22.03.23	Adrian Andreev - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
21.03.23	Steven Diez - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
10.03.23	Illya Marchenko - Gastao Elias	2:1 ✺
09.03.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
07.03.23	Gastao Elias - Facundo Mena	Mena F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLW?
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
22.03.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Skander Mansouri	2:0 ✺
20.03.23	Bu Yunchaokete - John Echeverria	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Edas Butvilas	1:2 ✺
01.03.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Richard Berankis	0:2 ✺
27.02.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Dan Added	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLW

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