Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Ivan Marrero Curbelo		Maik Steiner

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2.03
	1.8	2.05
	1.71	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.69	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.85)	2.02 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ivan Marrero Curbelo
53.9%

Maik Steiner
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ivan Marrero Curbelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Maik Steiner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Marrero Curbelo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maik Steiner than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Maik Steiner Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marrero Curbelo is ranked ATP: 540. Steiner is ranked ATP: 719.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Ivan Marrero Curbelo - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Maik Steiner - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ivan Marrero Curbelo
ATP Challenger
08.03.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Etienne Niyigena	2:0
02.03.26	Samuele Pieri - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Allan Gatoto - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Hynek Barton - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLWLL
- Maik Steiner
ATP Challenger
08.03.26	Gray Voelzke - Maik Steiner	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Ryan Nijboer - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Etienne Niyigena - Maik Steiner	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Maik Steiner - Aziz Ouakaa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW

Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Maik Steiner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide