Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Ivan Marrero Curbelo		Vladyslav Orlov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.7	2.17
	1.71	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.84	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.87)	1.99 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ivan Marrero Curbelo
53.1%

Vladyslav Orlov
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ivan Marrero Curbelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Vladyslav Orlov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Marrero Curbelo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ivan Marrero Curbelo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vladyslav Orlov than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vladyslav Orlov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Vladyslav Orlov Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marrero Curbelo is ranked ATP: 540. Orlov is ranked ATP: 529.

Marrero Curbelo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Orlov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Orlov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marrero Curbelo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ivan Marrero Curbelo - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Vladyslav Orlov - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ivan Marrero Curbelo
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Thijmen Loof	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Pranav Kumar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWW
- Vladyslav Orlov
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Vladyslav Orlov	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Matias Soto - Vladyslav Orlov	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Vladyslav Orlov - Rafael De Alba	Canceled ✺
24.03.26	Vladyslav Orlov - Nicolas Villalon	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Ronit Karki - Vladyslav Orlov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.02.22	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Vladyslav Orlov	1:2

Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Vladyslav Orlov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide