Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Quinn Vandecasteele		Ivan Marrero Curbelo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	2.11	1.75
	1.97	1.74	Watch
			Watch
	1.89	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.95)	1.76 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quinn Vandecasteele
46.9%

Ivan Marrero Curbelo
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quinn Vandecasteele has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ivan Marrero Curbelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quinn Vandecasteele than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Marrero Curbelo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Quinn Vandecasteele - Ivan Marrero Curbelo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vandecasteele will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Marrero Curbelo will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vandecasteele is ranked ATP: 461. Marrero Curbelo is ranked ATP: 540.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Vandecasteele may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quinn Vandecasteele
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Max Wiskandt - Quinn Vandecasteele	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Federico Zeballos - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Miguel Tobon	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Felix Corwin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLW
- Ivan Marrero Curbelo
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Thijmen Loof	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Pranav Kumar	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Benjamin Thomas George - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW

Quinn Vandecasteele - Ivan Marrero Curbelo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide