Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Jack Kennedy		Yosuke Watanuki

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.75	1.43
	2.63	1.54
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.55	1.52	Watch
	2.66	1.42	Watch
	2.55	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (3.03)	1.47 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Kennedy
36%

Yosuke Watanuki
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Kennedy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jack Kennedy's performance.

Yosuke Watanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yosuke Watanuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Kennedy than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jack Kennedy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yosuke Watanuki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jack Kennedy - Yosuke Watanuki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kennedy is ranked ATP: 414. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 294.

Kennedy is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Watanuki's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Watanuki might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Kennedy
ATP Challenger
01.07.26	Liam Broady - Jack Kennedy	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	Jack Kennedy - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.05.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - Jack Kennedy	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Keaton Hance - Jack Kennedy	0:2 ✺
21.05.26	David Naharro - Jack Kennedy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW
- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
01.07.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
29.06.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
08.06.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
01.06.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Pedro Boscardin Dias	Watanuki Y. Retired ✺
26.05.26	Cezar Cretu - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWL?L

Jack Kennedy - Yosuke Watanuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide