Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nottingham 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Jack Pinnington Jones		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
			Watch
	1.72	2.16
			Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.07)	2.15 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Pinnington Jones
56.4%

Emilio Nava
43.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jack Pinnington Jones's performance.

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emilio Nava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jack Pinnington Jones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emilio Nava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jack Pinnington Jones - Emilio Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: Jack Pinnington Jones will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jack Pinnington Jones will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 340. Nava is ranked ATP: 119.

Pinnington Jones is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Nava has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pinnington Jones won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
13.06.25	Martin Landaluce - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Billy Harris	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWW
- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
12.06.25	Federico Cina - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Andrej Martin - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Guy Den Ouden - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Marat Sharipov - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.08.24	Emilio Nava - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2

Jack Pinnington Jones - Emilio Nava