Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Jack Pinnington Jones		Rinky Hijikata

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.09	1.67
	2.08	1.78
	2.81	1.39	Watch
	2.08	1.69	Watch
	2.5	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.5)	1.61 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Pinnington Jones
41.5%

Rinky Hijikata
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Rinky Hijikata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jack Pinnington Jones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rinky Hijikata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Jack Pinnington Jones - Rinky Hijikata Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pinnington Jones will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Hijikata will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 191. Hijikata is ranked ATP: 114.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hijikata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hijikata might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
15.10.25	Michael Mmoh - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Mitchell Krueger - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Duncan Chan - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Olle Wallin - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL
- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Almaty
15.10.25	Rinky Hijikata - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Rinky Hijikata - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Rinky Hijikata - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Rinky Hijikata - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Rinky Hijikata - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLWL

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