Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tiburon 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Rafael Jodar		Jack Pinnington Jones

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Rafael Jodar
56%

Jack Pinnington Jones
44%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Jack Pinnington Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Jodar is ranked ATP: 306. Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 178.

Jodar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pinnington Jones is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Rafael Jodar - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Rafael Jodar - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Rafael Jodar - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Nicolas Mejia - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Rafael Jodar - Trevor Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL
- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Duncan Chan - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Olle Wallin - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Trevor Svajda	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Christian Langmo - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Aidan Kim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Basel
29.10.26	Valentin Vacherot - Rafael Jodar	✺

Rafael Jodar - Jack Pinnington Jones