Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday


	Jacob Fearnley		James Duckworth

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.3	3.15	Watch
	1.3	3.62
	1.35	3.11	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.32	3.2	Watch
	1.3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.53)	3.2 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
70.7%

James Duckworth
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jacob Fearnley's performance.

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and James Duckworth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacob Fearnley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Duckworth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Jacob Fearnley - James Duckworth Predictions

Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 81. Duckworth is ranked ATP: 97.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Duckworth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fearnley will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Jacob Fearnley - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.02.25	Jacob Fearnley - Lukas Klein	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Jacob Fearnley - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Jacob Fearnley - Lukas Pokorny	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWWL
- James Duckworth
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.25	James Duckworth - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	James Duckworth - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
22.02.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
11.02.25	James Duckworth - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Canceled ✺
ATP Dallas
02.02.25	James Duckworth - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWL?L

Jacob Fearnley - James Duckworth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide