Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 June 2025, Monday

Location: No. 1 Court (London)


	Jacob Fearnley		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.62	1.47	Watch
	2.81	1.48
			Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.86	1.48	Watch
	2.62	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.39)	1.47 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
35.1%

Joao Fonseca
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jacob Fearnley's form might have worsened.

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Fonseca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Jacob Fearnley - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Fonseca will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joao Fonseca will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 51. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 57.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Fearnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fonseca could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fearnley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.25	Marcos Giron - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Jacob Fearnley - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
ATP London
20.06.25	Jiri Lehecka - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Jacob Fearnley - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	Jacob Fearnley - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWW
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Eastbourne
26.06.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
23.06.25	Zizou Bergs - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
17.06.25	Joao Fonseca - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.25	Joao Fonseca - Jack Draper	0:3 ✺
29.05.25	Joao Fonseca - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Jacob Fearnley - Joao Fonseca	1:2
ATP Challenger
02.01.25	Jacob Fearnley - Joao Fonseca	0:2

Jacob Fearnley - Joao Fonseca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide