Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rovereto (Italy), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 November 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rovereto (Italy) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Jacopo Berrettini		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.19	1.7
	2.18	1.64	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.23	1.61	Watch
	2.32	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.34)	1.61 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacopo Berrettini
42.1%

Federico Arnaboldi
57.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacopo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Jacopo Berrettini - Federico Arnaboldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Arnaboldi will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaboldi: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 327. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 230.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Berrettini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arnaboldi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Berrettini won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacopo Berrettini
ITF Tournaments
31.10.24	Louis Dussin - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
30.10.24	Adam Heinonen - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.10.24	Stefano Travaglia - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.10.24	Jacopo Berrettini - Pedro Araujo	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Jacopo Berrettini - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLW
- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Alexis Gautier	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Luka Pavlovic	Canceled
06.11.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
04.11.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 L?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.02.21	Jacopo Berrettini - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2

Jacopo Berrettini - Federico Arnaboldi