Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia (Italy), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2024, Monday


	Dalibor Svrcina		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.33	3.1
	1.31	3.2	Watch
	1.32	3.44
	1.33	3.17	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.31	3.26	Watch
	1.31	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.44)	3.23 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalibor Svrcina
71%

Federico Arnaboldi
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalibor Svrcina's performance.

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Arnaboldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Dalibor Svrcina - Federico Arnaboldi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svrcina is ranked ATP: 277. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 248.

Recent matches Svrcina is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arnaboldi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arnaboldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Svrcina is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Shanghai
30.09.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.09.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Rio Noguchi - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Denis Yevseyev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL
- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
08.10.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
23.09.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Duarte Vale	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
12.09.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

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