Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rome 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Jacopo Vasami		Frederico Ferreira Silva

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Jacopo Vasami
45.9%

Frederico Ferreira Silva
54.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacopo Vasami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Frederico Ferreira Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacopo Vasami than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Vasami is ranked ATP: 555. Ferreira Silva is ranked ATP: 234.

Vasami is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ferreira Silva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ferreira Silva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacopo Vasami
ATP Challenger
20.04.26	Martin Krumich - Jacopo Vasami	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Jacopo Vasami - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Jacopo Vasami - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Henri Squire - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Jacopo Vasami - Martin Krumich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWW
- Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Max Houkes	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Francisco Comesana - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Daniel Rincon - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLL

Jacopo Vasami - Frederico Ferreira Silva