Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Pablo Llamas Ruiz		Frederico Ferreira Silva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.17	4.5	Watch
	1.2	4.93
	1.18	4.33	Watch
	1.17	4.5	Watch
	1.15	4.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.45)	4.57 ↑ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
79.6%

Frederico Ferreira Silva
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Llamas Ruiz's performance.

Frederico Ferreira Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Frederico Ferreira Silva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Llamas Ruiz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frederico Ferreira Silva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Frederico Ferreira Silva Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 151. Ferreira Silva is ranked ATP: 237.

Llamas Ruiz is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ferreira Silva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ferreira Silva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Llamas Ruiz is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Frederico Ferreira Silva - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.34%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
29.03.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Ilya Ivashka - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Elmer Moller - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWW?
- Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Challenger
01.04.26	Daniel Rincon - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW

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