Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Wuning 8, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday


	Jaesung Choe		Yuta Tomida

	1	2
	3.40	1.26
	3.30	1.28
	3.61	1.28
	3.35	1.27	Watch
	3.54	1.26
	3.31	1.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.04)	1.27 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaesung Choe
27.1%

Yuta Tomida
72.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaesung Choe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Yuta Tomida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaesung Choe than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaesung Choe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Tomida than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuta Tomida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jaesung Choe - Yuta Tomida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Choe is ranked ATP: 1191. Tomida is ranked ATP: 1000.

Choe is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tomida is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Choe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tomida is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Choe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaesung Choe
ITF Tournaments
09.09.26	Jaesung Choe - Shijie Chen	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Jaesung Choe - Mattias Southcombe	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Geun Jun Kim - Jaesung Choe	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Jaesung Choe - Omar Jasika	Choe J. Retired ✺
12.08.26	Jaesung Choe - Fumin Jiang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWL?W
- Yuta Tomida
ITF Tournaments
09.09.26	Chen Yu Lun - Yuta Tomida	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Ryo Minakata - Yuta Tomida	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Qian Sun - Yuta Tomida	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Yuta Tomida - Geun Jun Kim	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Yuta Tomida - Kristjan Tamm	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.10.24	Jaesung Choe - Yuta Tomida	0:2

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