Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Wuning 7, hard - Final

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Qian Sun		Yuta Tomida

	1	2
	1.62	2.10
	1.58	2.23
	1.75	2.10
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.73	2.07
	1.66	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)	2.1 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qian Sun
55.8%

Yuta Tomida
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qian Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qian Sun's performance.

Yuta Tomida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuta Tomida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qian Sun than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qian Sun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Tomida than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuta Tomida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Qian Sun - Yuta Tomida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 1055. Tomida is ranked ATP: 1000.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Tomida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sun could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qian Sun
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Colin Sinclair - Qian Sun	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Miles Jones - Qian Sun	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Hiromasa Koyama - Qian Sun	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Anmar Faleh Alhogbani - Qian Sun	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Fumin Jiang - Qian Sun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWL
- Yuta Tomida
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Yuta Tomida - Geun Jun Kim	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Yuta Tomida - Kristjan Tamm	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Yuta Tomida - Xing Dao Chen	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Yuta Tomida - Weiwen Pan	Pan W. Retired ✺
29.07.26	Yuta Tomida - Isaac Becroft	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWW?L

Qian Sun - Yuta Tomida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide