Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasilia 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Jaime Faria		Gianluca Cadenasso

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.35	3.38
	1.28	3.34	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.29	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.51)	3.31 ↑ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
71.7%

Gianluca Cadenasso
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaime Faria's performance.

Gianluca Cadenasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gianluca Cadenasso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaime Faria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gianluca Cadenasso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jaime Faria - Gianluca Cadenasso Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Faria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Faria (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 25.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Faria (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 145. Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 305.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Faria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Faria might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Jaime Faria - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.26%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Damir Dzumhur - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Jaime Faria - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Igor Marcondes - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Jaime Faria - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWLW
- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
27.02.26	Miguel Damas - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.01.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Daniele Minighini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLW

Jaime Faria - Gianluca Cadenasso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide