Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Jaime Faria		Giulio Zeppieri

	1	2
	1.8	1.91
	1.85	1.9
	1.84	1.92
	1.86	1.96
	1.96	1.80	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.83	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.05)	1.91 ↑ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
50.8%

Giulio Zeppieri
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Giulio Zeppieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaime Faria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giulio Zeppieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jaime Faria - Giulio Zeppieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Faria will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Zeppieri will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zeppieri: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Zeppieri (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Giulio Zeppieri will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Zeppieri (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 118. Zeppieri is ranked ATP: 260.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Zeppieri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Jaime Faria - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.08.25	Jaime Faria - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Mark Lajal - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
14.08.25	Kaylan Bigun - Jaime Faria	Bigun K. retired ✺
12.08.25	Hady Habib - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLW?W
- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Hady Habib	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.08.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Petr Brunclik - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
05.08.25	Johannus Monday - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	George Loffhagen - Giulio Zeppieri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL

Jaime Faria - Giulio Zeppieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide