Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Jaime Faria		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.36	3
	1.36	2.95
	1.37	3.01
	1.37	3.17
	1.39	2.97	Watch
	1.36	3
			Watch
	1.47	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.47)	2.97 ↑ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
68.2%

Rio Noguchi
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Jaime Faria - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Faria will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Noguchi will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Faria (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 118. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 196.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Faria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Faria is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Challenger
16.08.25	Jaime Faria - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Mark Lajal - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
14.08.25	Kaylan Bigun - Jaime Faria	Bigun K. retired ✺
12.08.25	Hady Habib - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Mark Lajal - Jaime Faria	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LW?W?
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Rio Noguchi - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Liam Draxl - Rio Noguchi	Canceled ✺
12.08.25	Rio Noguchi - James Watt	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Rio Noguchi - Ray Ho	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Alexis Galarneau - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 L?WWL

Jaime Faria - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide