Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Karuizawa, clay - Final

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Jake Delaney		Evan Zhu

	1	2
	1.76	1.95
	1.78	2.05
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.78	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.47)	1.97 ↓ (2.42)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jake Delaney
52.8%

Evan Zhu
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jake Delaney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jake Delaney's form might have worsened.

Evan Zhu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Evan Zhu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jake Delaney than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Jake Delaney - Evan Zhu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Delaney is ranked ATP: 459. Zhu is ranked ATP: 763.

Now, both players are in good form.

Delaney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Delaney won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Jake Delaney - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 62.21%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Evan Zhu - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.79%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jake Delaney
ITF Tournaments
29.05.26	Hiromasa Koyama - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Jake Delaney - Leo Vithoontien	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Jake Delaney - Kazuki Nishiwaki	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Jake Delaney - Rin Kojima	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Noritaka Koizumi - Jake Delaney	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL
- Evan Zhu
ITF Tournaments
29.05.26	Evan Zhu - Sora Fukuda	2:1 ✺
28.05.26	Shu Matsuoka - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Yua Taka - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
25.05.26	Evan Zhu - Colin Sinclair	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Evan Zhu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Jake Delaney - Evan Zhu	2:1
05.05.25	Evan Zhu - Jake Delaney	2:1

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