Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday


	Jake Delaney		Hayato Matsuoka

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.15	1.6	Watch
	2.13	1.76
	2.05	1.71	Watch
	2.03	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.24)	1.68 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jake Delaney
44.6%

Hayato Matsuoka
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jake Delaney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Hayato Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jake Delaney than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Jake Delaney - Hayato Matsuoka Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Delaney will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Matsuoka will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Delaney is ranked ATP: 504. Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 589.

Now, both players are in good form.

Matsuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Matsuoka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Matsuoka will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jake Delaney
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Jake Delaney - Mees Rottgering	Rottgering M. retired ✺
10.11.25	Rio Noguchi - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Kousuke Ogura - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Emile Hudd - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 ?WLWW
- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Emile Hudd - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Scott Jones	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Matt Hulme	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWL

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