Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TUNIS (TUNISIA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 17 May 2023, Wednesday


	Jakub Mensik		Nicholas David Ionel

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.7	2.1
	1.61	2.36
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.51	2.43	Watch
	1.67	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.83)	2.22 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
57.8%

Nicholas David Ionel
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jakub Mensik's performance.

Nicholas David Ionel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicholas David Ionel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicholas David Ionel than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Jakub Mensik - Nicholas David Ionel Predictions

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mensik in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ionel is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ionel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Mensik to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Jakub Mensik - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Jakub Mensik - Dominik Koepfer	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
12.05.23	Jakub Mensik - Akira Santillan	2:1 ✺
10.05.23	Jakub Mensik - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW
- Nicholas David Ionel
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Nicholas David Ionel - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Alejandro Tabilo - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
12.05.23	Nicholas David Ionel - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
11.05.23	Nicholas David Ionel - Edoardo Lavagno	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Nicholas David Ionel - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW

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