Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MODENA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 June 2023, Monday


	Jakub Mensik		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.67	2.15
	1.67	2.26
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.68	2.09	Watch
	1.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	2.12 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
55.8%

Stefano Travaglia
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Jakub Mensik - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Travaglia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Challenger
19.06.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
16.06.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
14.06.23	Fernando Verdasco - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
12.06.23	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
08.06.23	Jakub Mensik - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWL
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
23.06.23	Alexandre Muller - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
22.06.23	Stefano Travaglia - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
21.06.23	Matteo Gigante - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
20.06.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Stefano Travaglia	Lavagno E. retired ✺
15.06.23	Stefano Travaglia - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWW?L

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