Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 October 2024, Tuesday


	Jakub Mensik		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.37	3.1	Watch
	1.4	3.19
	1.4	3.06	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.42	2.89	Watch
	1.37	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.43)	3.04 ↑ (2.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
68.6%

Alexander Shevchenko
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Jakub Mensik - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 65. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 58.

Mensik is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Shevchenko is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shevchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mensik is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mensik won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Shanghai
05.10.24	Andrey Rublev - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
03.10.24	Jakub Mensik - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
23.09.24	Hugo Gaston - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWW
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Shanghai
05.10.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
03.10.24	Ramkumar Ramanathan - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
24.09.24	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
19.09.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0
ATP Challenger
12.06.23	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1

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